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DOI: 10.1055/s-0041-1734228
Predicting the outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with immunotherapy - the CRAFITY score
Background Immunotherapy with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab represents the new standard of care in systemic front-line treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Biomarkers to predict treatment success are an unmet need.
Methods Patients with HCC treated with PD-(L)1-based immunotherapy between July 2015 and May 2020 in 6 European centers (training set; n = 104) and between August 2015 and February 2020 in 7 European centers (validation set; n = 73) were included. We investigated the prognostic value of baseline variables by using a Cox regression model in the training set and developed the CRAFITY (CRP and AFP in ImmunoTherapY) score. The score was validated in the independent, external cohort.
Results Baseline serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥200 ng/ml (HR, 2.0; p = 0.009) and C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥1 mg/dl (HR, 2.0; p < = 0.016) were identified as independent negative prognostic factors in multivariable analysis and were used to develop the CRAFITY score. Patients who fulfilled none or only one criterion (0-1 point; CRAFITY-low) had a significantly longer median overall survival (21.8 (95 %CI, 13.4-30.2) months) than patients meeting both criteria (2 points; CRAFITY-high; 5.3 (95 %CI, 1.9-8.6) months; p < 0.001). Additionally, they had a significantly better disease control rate (70 % vs. 32 %; p = 0.001). These results were confirmed in the independent validation set and remained significant irrespective of Child-Pugh stage and treatment line.
Conclusions The CRAFITY score identifies patients with favorable disease control and survival. The score may help to guide treatment decisions and patient counseling.
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Publication History
Article published online:
01 September 2021
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