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DOI: 10.1055/s-0034-1387404
Risiko- und Schutzfaktoren bei sexualdelinquent gewordenen Menschen: Vorhersage erneuter Straftaten und Veränderungen im Behandlungsverlauf
Risk and Protective Factors Among Sexual Offenders: Relapse Prediction and Changes During TreatmentPublikationsverlauf
Publikationsdatum:
19. Dezember 2014 (online)
Zusammenfassung
Ziel: Untersuchung der Fragestellungen, ob sexualforensisch tätige Therapeuten das Risiko erneuter Straffälligkeit von Klienten valide einschätzen können und die Behandlung deliktrelevante Faktoren verändert.
Methodik: Testung der Vorhersagekraft des HCR-20 und des SAPROF und Veränderungen dynamischer Skalen.
Ergebnisse: Beide Instrumente waren prädiktiv valide. Dynamische Skalen des HCR-20 veränderten sich nicht; die I- und M-Skala des SAPROF stiegen statistisch bedeutsam.
Schlussfolgerung: Hochrisikoklienten konnten identifiziert werden; Interventionen richteten sich auf relevante Aspekte.
Abstract
Objective: Investigation of two questions: first, whether sexual/forensic therapists are able to make valid assessments for future criminal behavior and second, whether their treatment changes factors relevant for new offences.
Methods: First, the predictive validity for recidivism of HCR-20 and SAPROF were tested. Second, the dynamic scales of both instruments were analyzed concerning changes during treatment process.
Results: Both instruments showed good predictive validity. The dynamic scales scores of HCR-20 did not change, whereas the I- and M-scale scores of SAPROF increased statistically significant.
Conclusion: The therapists were able to identify high-risk clients and seemed to mainly focus their interventions towards factors associated with new offences.
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