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Semin Thromb Hemost 2018; 44(04): 315-326
DOI: 10.1055/s-0038-1625983
Review Article
Thieme Medical Publishers 333 Seventh Avenue, New York, NY 10001, USA.

Risk of Venous Thrombosis in Antithrombin Deficiency: A Systematic Review and Bayesian Meta-analysis

F. Nanne Croles
1   Department of Hematology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
2   Department of Hematology, University of Groningen, UMC Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
,
Jaime Borjas-Howard
2   Department of Hematology, University of Groningen, UMC Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
,
Kazem Nasserinejad
3   Department of Hematology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute-Clinical Trial Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
,
Frank W. G. Leebeek
1   Department of Hematology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
,
Karina Meijer
2   Department of Hematology, University of Groningen, UMC Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
› Author Affiliations
Further Information

Publication History

Publication Date:
16 February 2018 (online)

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Abstract

Antithrombin deficiency is a strong risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE), but the absolute risk of the first and recurrent VTE is unclear. The objective of this paper is to establish the absolute risks of the first and recurrent VTE and mortality in individuals with antithrombin deficiency. The databases Embase, Medline Ovid, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar were systematically searched for case–control and cohort studies. Bayesian random-effects meta-analysis was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs), absolute risks, and probabilities of ORs being above thresholds. Thirty-five publications were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis. Based on 19 studies, OR estimates for the first VTE showed a strongly increased risk for antithrombin deficient individuals, OR 14.0; 95% credible interval (CrI), 5.5 to 29.0. Based on 10 studies, meta-analysis showed that the annual VTE risk was significantly higher in antithrombin-deficient than in non-antithrombin-deficient individuals: 1.2% (95% CrI, 0.8–1.7) versus 0.07% (95% CrI, 0.01–0.14). In prospective studies, the annual VTE risk in antithrombin deficient individuals was as high as 2.3%; 95% CrI, 0.2–6.5%. Data on antithrombin deficiency subtypes are very limited for reliable risk-differentiation. The OR for recurrent VTE based on 10 studies was 2.1; 95% CrI, 0.2 to 4.0. The annual recurrence risk without long-term anticoagulant therapy based on 4 studies was 8.8% (95% CrI, 4.6–14.1) for antithrombin-deficient and 4.3% (95% CrI, 1.5–7.9) for non-antithrombin-deficient VTE patients. The probability of the recurrence risk being higher in antithrombin-deficient patients was 95%. The authors conclude that antithrombin deficient individuals have a high annual VTE risk, and a high annual recurrence risk. Antithrombin deficient patients with VTE require long-term anticoagulant therapy.

Keywords

anticoagulants - antithrombin deficiency - venous thromboembolism - meta-analysis - Bayes theorem

Authors' Contribution

F. Nanne Croles designed the study protocol, performed the search, performed the data abstraction and statistics, and wrote the manuscript. Jaime Borjas-Howard performed the search, performed the data abstraction, and critically revised the manuscript. Kazem Nasserinejad designed and performed the statistics. Frank W. G. Leebeek and Karina Meijer designed the study protocol and critically revised the manuscript.


Supplementary Material

 

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