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DOI: 10.1055/s-0041-1734228
Predicting the outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with immunotherapy - the CRAFITY score
Background Immunotherapy with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab represents the new standard of care in systemic front-line treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Biomarkers to predict treatment success are an unmet need.
Methods Patients with HCC treated with PD-(L)1-based immunotherapy between July 2015 and May 2020 in 6 European centers (training set; n = 104) and between August 2015 and February 2020 in 7 European centers (validation set; n = 73) were included. We investigated the prognostic value of baseline variables by using a Cox regression model in the training set and developed the CRAFITY (CRP and AFP in ImmunoTherapY) score. The score was validated in the independent, external cohort.
Results Baseline serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥200 ng/ml (HR, 2.0; p = 0.009) and C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥1 mg/dl (HR, 2.0; p < = 0.016) were identified as independent negative prognostic factors in multivariable analysis and were used to develop the CRAFITY score. Patients who fulfilled none or only one criterion (0-1 point; CRAFITY-low) had a significantly longer median overall survival (21.8 (95 %CI, 13.4-30.2) months) than patients meeting both criteria (2 points; CRAFITY-high; 5.3 (95 %CI, 1.9-8.6) months; p < 0.001). Additionally, they had a significantly better disease control rate (70 % vs. 32 %; p = 0.001). These results were confirmed in the independent validation set and remained significant irrespective of Child-Pugh stage and treatment line.
Conclusions The CRAFITY score identifies patients with favorable disease control and survival. The score may help to guide treatment decisions and patient counseling.
Publication History
Article published online:
01 September 2021
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