Study design: Systematic review.
Search: PubMed; Cochrane collaboration database; National Guideline Clearinghouse database; bibliographies of key articles.
Dates searched: 1970 through June 4, 2012.
Inclusion criteria: (1) adults, (2) discectomy, discography or conservative treatment for first-time HNP.
Exclusion criteria: (1) secondary surgery for HNP, (2) fusion surgery, (3) tumor, (4) infection, (5) no disc severity classification system to measure disc degeneration, and (6) clinical outcomes only reported.
Outcomes: Severity classification system of disc degeneration (Kambin severity scale or Pfirrmann classification).
Analysis: Descriptive statistics of the cumulative incidence or prevalence.
Cumulative incidence: The proportion of people who had been degeneration-free at the time of the initial evaluation that had subsequent development of new degeneration at final follow-up.
Prevalence: The proportion of people with disc degeneration at any follow-up point.
Data were summarized in tables and figures but were not pooled due to the limited number of studies available and the heterogeneity of patient populations, outcome measures, and follow-up periods.
Overall strength of evidence: Risk of bias determined using CoE rating scheme developed by the Oxford Centre for Evidence-based Medicine by The Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery American Volume [Wright] (see Web Appendix at
www.aospine.org/ebsj
). The overall body of evidence with respect to each key question was determined based on modified precepts outlined by the Grades of Recommendation Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system.