Summary
Although long-distance air travel is commonly regarded as a risk factor for venous
thromboembolism, the risk of clinically important events has not been well defined.
We estimated the absolute risk of dying from pulmonary embolism following longdistance
air travel in a national population-based descriptive study of 121 men and women who
were aged 15–59 years (the age range in which the majority of international arrivals
are found) and whose underlying cause of death was certified as codes 415.1, 451,
or 453 of the International Classification of Diseases (ninth revision). Eleven cases
had undertaken longdistance air travel in the four weeks before the onset of the fatal
episode. The estimated risks of fatal pulmonary embolism following a flight of at
least three hours’ duration were 0.5 (95% CI 0.2–1.2) and 0.6 (95% CI 0.2–1.4) per
million arrivals for overseas visitors and New Zealand residents, respectively. For
air travel of more than eight hours’ duration, the risk in New Zealand residents was
1.3 (95% CI 0.4–3.0) per million arrivals. We also conducteda case-control study based
on those cases who were normally resident in New Zealand and registered on the electoral
roll (n=99). For each case, four controls matched for sex, age, and electorate, were randomly
selected from the electoral roll. In the key analysis (based on 88 cases and 334 controls),
the adjusted odds ratio for travellers who had flown for more than eight hours was
7.9 (95% CI 1.1–55.1) compared with those who did not undertake a long-distance flight.
Longdistance air travellers have a higher risk of dying from pulmonary embolism than
non-travellers, but the absolute risk in people aged 15–59 years appears to be very
small.
Keywords
Clinical / epidemiological studies - pulmonary embolism