Development of a Bayesian Network for the Prognosis of Head Injuries using Graphical Model Selection Techniques

Abstract:

The assessment of a head-injured patient’s prognosis is a task that involves the evaluation of diverse sources of information. In this study we propose an analytical approach, using a Bayesian Network (BN), of combining the available evidence. The BN’s structure and parameters are derived by learning techniques applied to a database (600 records) of seven clinical and laboratory findings. The BN produces quantitative estimations of the prognosis after 24 hours for head-injured patients in the outpatients department. Alternative models are compared and their performance is tested against the success rate of an expert neurosurgeon.

Keywords:

Bayesian Networks - Head Injuries - Prognosis - Learning Models

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