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DOI: 10.1160/TH08-06-0384
Antiphospholipid antibodies predict imminent vascular events independently from other risk factors in a prospective cohort
Financial support: This study has been funded in part by operating grants from The Arthritis Society (97/0007) and the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (MOP-49509 and MOP-64336 [PRF, JK, JR] and MOP-42391 [JR]). PRF is a Distinguished Senior Investigator of The Arthritis Society with additional support from the Arthritis Centre of Excellence, University of Toronto.Publication History
Received:
17 June 2008
Accepted after minor revision:
12 September 2008
Publication Date:
23 November 2017 (online)
![](https://www.thieme-connect.de/media/10.1055-s-00035024/200901/lookinside/thumbnails/10-1160-th08-06-0384-1.jpg)
Summary
Antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) are associated with vascular events, but the magnitude of this risk, alone, or in combination with other atherogenic and thrombophilic risk factors, remains unclear. A prospective cohort of 415 persons was studied for arterial and venous events (AE and VE) over a median time of 7.4 years. aPL and coagulation abnormalities were measured upon beginning of the study and annually for the first four years. Within the cohort, a nested case-control study was conducted to investigate the role of endothelial and inflammatory markers in predicting new vascular events. Forty-five individuals had new vascular events: 18 occurred during the first year of follow-up. The proportion of event-free survivors at eight years was 90% (95%CI = 87%, 94%) for aPL-negative and 72% (60%, 85%) for aPL-positive individuals, respectively. Predictors for new AE were previous AE (HR=5.7 [2.7, 12.0]), diabetes (5.6 [2.4, 13.2]), aPL positivity (2.6 ([1.2, 5.9]), and age (1.04 [1.01, 1.07]). New VE were predicted by previous VE (6.1 [1.9, 19.9]), anti-β2-glyco-protein I (aβ2GPI) positivity (5.8 [1.4, 24.1]), activated protein C resistance (APCR) (4.1 [1.1, 15.1]), and gender (3.7 [1.1, 12.9]). In the nested case-control study, similar predictors were observed for AE, while abnormal APCR (OR=5.5 [1.1, 26.6]) and elevated von Willebrand factor (vWF) (OR=5.0 [1.2, 19.8]) best predicted VE. We demonstrate that aPL independently predict new vascular events and discriminate between individuals with and without events in the first two years of follow-up, indicating that aPL are associated with a short-term risk of developing new and recurrent vascular events.
Keywords
Antiphospholipid antibodies - thrombosis - anti-beta2-glycoprotein I - activated protein C resistance - von Willebrand factor* These authors contributed equally to this research.
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