Summary
The objective of this study was to evaluate the rate of stroke associated with aspirin
and warfarin in routine clinical practice. The study included patients aged 40+ with
chronic atrial fibrillation (cAF) registered in the UK General Practice Research Database.
The outcome was the rate of stroke during current, past and no use of aspirin and
warfarin. The study included 51,807 cAF patients. There was no difference in the rate
of stroke between current and past use of aspirin (relative rate [RR]=1.04 [95% confidence
interval (CI) 0.94 – 1.15]), while the rate of stroke was reduced during current warfarin
use compared to past use (RR=0.62 [95% CI 0.54 – 0.71]). For warfarin, a pattern of
lower rates of stroke during current exposure and higher rates with past exposure
was seen only in patients treated for at least 6–12 months. For aspirin, no changes
in the rates of stroke were observed with discontinuation of aspirin. The effectiveness
of warfarin was dependent on the level of anticoagulation, with optimal risk reduction
occurring within the recommended international normalised ratio (INR) range of 2.0
to 3.0. The proportion of patients achieving a stable INR within the target therapeutic
range was at its lowest during the first three months of warfarin treatment. In conclusion,
the results of this study support the effectiveness of warfarin treatment to reduce
the rate of stroke in cAF patients in the general clinical practice setting, however
the risk reduction is lower than that reported in clinical trials.
Keywords
Stroke prevention - epidemiological studies - risk factors